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Poll: Obama's Pa. Lead Drops from 9 to 4 Points

An October poll by Franklin and Marshall shows President Obama maintaining a small lead among likely voters in Pennsylvania

 

 

The October 2012 Franklin & Marshall College Poll of Pennsylvania voters finds President Barack Obama with a 4 point lead among likely voters compared to a 9 point lead in the September poll over Gov. Mitt Romney. 

Complete results, including detailed methodology, can be found at http://politics.fandm.edu

  • Obama leads Romney, 49% to 45%, with 4% undecided among likely voters while in September he led 52% to 43%, with 3% undecided.
  • Bob Casey leads Tom Smith, 46% to 36%, with 13% undecided in the US senate race. In September Casey led, 48% to 38%, with 8% undecided.
  • Obama is seen as better able to handle foreign policy issues, 56% to 37%, better able to understand the concerns of ordinary Americans, 54% to 39%, better able to handle the job as military chief, 51% to 42%, closest to voters' views on abortion and gay marriage, 47% to 40%, but Romney is now seen as more prepared to fix our economic problems, 47% to 42%.
  • Obama is viewed favorably by 50% of respondents similar to September but Romney is viewed favorably by 43% compared to 34% in September. 
  • President Obama's job performance rating is more negative (46%) than positive (53%).
  • Voters are less interested in the election this year, 67% (very interested) when compared to 2008, 73%, (very interested).

.This survey reflect interviews with 849 Pennsylvania voters conducted by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College from October 23-28, 2012 (sample error of +/- 3.4 percentage points). The survey includes 547 interviews with likely voters (sample error of  +/- 4.2 percentage points). The Franklin & Marshall College Poll is produced in conjunction with the Philadelphia Daily News, WGAL-TV (South Central PA), Pittsburgh Tribune Review, WTAE-TV (Pittsburgh), WPVI-TV6/ABC (Philadelphia), Times-Shamrock Newspapers, Harrisburg Patriot-News, and Lancaster Newspapers. It may be used in whole or in part, provided any use is attributed to Franklin & Marshall College. 

Related Topics: 2012 presidential election, Decision 2012, and Franklin & Marshall

Chris Miller

10:45 am on Friday, November 2, 2012

You might want to note that Romney is now on the air with ads, That indicates that Romney and Ryan could take the state. These men have been frugal with their money. For them to come to PA means they have a chance to win here.

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Life Long Emmaus

2:27 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012

I do not think "FRUGAL" and this kind of spending should be used in the same sentence. It's rediculous!

Highest spending by state

In millions ($) Total Dem. Rep.
Florida 147 68 79
Virginia 131 60 71
Ohio 128 62 65
North Carolina 89 36 53
Colorado 59 30 30
Iowa 49 24 26
Nevada 48 23 25
New Hampshire 28 16 12
Wisconsin 28 8 19
Michigan 26 7 19

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Watts

4:24 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012

But that poll closed on 10/28. I would be shocked if those numbers haven't realistically shot right back up since Sandy and how the storm has put FEMA as the topic on most people's minds. With Romney on record stating that he wants to eliminate FEMA and now dodging al questions about FEMA, I think that the disgust level of people toward Romney is starting to escalate this week.

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Crestor Januvia

5:16 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012

Ya... people are not at all disgusted with Libya and Obamination.

And what is FEMA? A federal agency that comes in a throws around a bunch of money the FEDERAL GOVERNMENT DOES NOT HAVE. Everybody thinks "Oh great, the feds can pay for this". They don't have the money.

They just borrow it. Anybody that looks at FEMA as a big government success is an idiot. Romney knows they just have to go borrow the money, so he says you might as well just give your borrowed money directly to the states. This way, FEMA gets to waste 50% of the money on all it's operations.

You liberals are so full of crap. You don't understand a thing.

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Watts

5:24 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012

Oh yes, we do not understand anything. Coming from the person who just laid out the most ridiculously juvenile analysis of what FEMA is.

I don't even have to say anything. Your words speak for themselves.

News Flash

4:57 pm on Friday, November 2, 2012

Unemployment rate is higher now than Obama started with.

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louis kootsares

7:53 am on Sunday, November 4, 2012

the polls must be taken at democratic headquarters,of course the freeloaders,lowlife,ignorant,islam radicals,and socialists will back ayatolla obahma,but the normal people from pennsylvania will vote romney....

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